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	<title>Comments on: A housing bailout might be a boon, but Bush&#8217;s housing bailout is a bust</title>
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	<link>http://www.scholarsandrogues.com/2007/12/09/a-housing-bailout-might-be-a-boon-but-bushs-housing-bailout-is-a-bust/</link>
	<description>Think - it ain&#039;t illegal yet...</description>
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		<title>By: marvin</title>
		<link>http://www.scholarsandrogues.com/2007/12/09/a-housing-bailout-might-be-a-boon-but-bushs-housing-bailout-is-a-bust/comment-page-1/#comment-68566</link>
		<dc:creator>marvin</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 13 Jul 2009 02:13:24 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.scholarsandrogues.com/2007/12/09/a-housing-bailout-might-be-a-boon-but-bushs-housing-bailout-is-a-bust/#comment-68566</guid>
		<description>There are still lots of billion of dollars left from the $700 billion bank bailout, and, according to news, there could be a debate in congress on how the remaining money be dealt with. IMO, the &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.obama-bailout.us/&quot; title=&quot;bailout plan&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;bailout plan&lt;/a&gt; somehow help some companies but there are still lots of them who are under crisis. I just hope that the remaining fund will be used wisely to lessen the economic crisis.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>There are still lots of billion of dollars left from the $700 billion bank bailout, and, according to news, there could be a debate in congress on how the remaining money be dealt with. IMO, the <a href="http://www.obama-bailout.us/" title="bailout plan" rel="nofollow">bailout plan</a> somehow help some companies but there are still lots of them who are under crisis. I just hope that the remaining fund will be used wisely to lessen the economic crisis.</p>
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		<title>By: Scholars and Rogues &#187; Smart people hate America and other myths of the current cultural milieu&#8230;</title>
		<link>http://www.scholarsandrogues.com/2007/12/09/a-housing-bailout-might-be-a-boon-but-bushs-housing-bailout-is-a-bust/comment-page-1/#comment-17542</link>
		<dc:creator>Scholars and Rogues &#187; Smart people hate America and other myths of the current cultural milieu&#8230;</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 21 Feb 2008 19:16:08 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.scholarsandrogues.com/2007/12/09/a-housing-bailout-might-be-a-boon-but-bushs-housing-bailout-is-a-bust/#comment-17542</guid>
		<description>[...] from global heating while our government does nothing to try to reduce our carbon emissions? That corporate and banking interests have conducted themselves in despicably greedy ways and put the nation at the brink of not just recession but outright depression the likes of which we [...]</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[...] from global heating while our government does nothing to try to reduce our carbon emissions? That corporate and banking interests have conducted themselves in despicably greedy ways and put the nation at the brink of not just recession but outright depression the likes of which we [...]</p>
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		<title>By: Scholars and Rogues &#187; Blog Archive &#187; There is a housing bailout going on&#8211;but it&#8217;s not for you</title>
		<link>http://www.scholarsandrogues.com/2007/12/09/a-housing-bailout-might-be-a-boon-but-bushs-housing-bailout-is-a-bust/comment-page-1/#comment-10246</link>
		<dc:creator>Scholars and Rogues &#187; Blog Archive &#187; There is a housing bailout going on&#8211;but it&#8217;s not for you</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 21 Dec 2007 17:19:50 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.scholarsandrogues.com/2007/12/09/a-housing-bailout-might-be-a-boon-but-bushs-housing-bailout-is-a-bust/#comment-10246</guid>
		<description>[...] the heat generated by Bush and Paulson&#8217;s false mortgage rescue plan continues to burn the wrong people, as spittle-flecked invective from the likes of Michelle Malkin [...]</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[...] the heat generated by Bush and Paulson&#8217;s false mortgage rescue plan continues to burn the wrong people, as spittle-flecked invective from the likes of Michelle Malkin [...]</p>
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		<title>By: Your Daily Bloodletting &#171; Aboulia Cafe</title>
		<link>http://www.scholarsandrogues.com/2007/12/09/a-housing-bailout-might-be-a-boon-but-bushs-housing-bailout-is-a-bust/comment-page-1/#comment-9893</link>
		<dc:creator>Your Daily Bloodletting &#171; Aboulia Cafe</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 12 Dec 2007 00:21:28 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.scholarsandrogues.com/2007/12/09/a-housing-bailout-might-be-a-boon-but-bushs-housing-bailout-is-a-bust/#comment-9893</guid>
		<description>[...] blog, Scholars and Rogues, flatly states that Bush&#8217;s bailout for hopeful homeowners is already a hopeless [...]</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[...] blog, Scholars and Rogues, flatly states that Bush&#8217;s bailout for hopeful homeowners is already a hopeless [...]</p>
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		<title>By: Martin</title>
		<link>http://www.scholarsandrogues.com/2007/12/09/a-housing-bailout-might-be-a-boon-but-bushs-housing-bailout-is-a-bust/comment-page-1/#comment-9844</link>
		<dc:creator>Martin</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 11 Dec 2007 16:25:29 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.scholarsandrogues.com/2007/12/09/a-housing-bailout-might-be-a-boon-but-bushs-housing-bailout-is-a-bust/#comment-9844</guid>
		<description>Ian,

Thanks for the shoutout. I can&#039;t argue with your logic either--forcing mortgage lenders to hold on to those loans would make them much more accountable. I was just approaching it from the consumer perspective.

It&#039;s a testament to the scope of how awesomely awful the problem is that all of these solutions are necessary.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Ian,</p>
<p>Thanks for the shoutout. I can&#8217;t argue with your logic either&#8211;forcing mortgage lenders to hold on to those loans would make them much more accountable. I was just approaching it from the consumer perspective.</p>
<p>It&#8217;s a testament to the scope of how awesomely awful the problem is that all of these solutions are necessary.</p>
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		<title>By: Dan</title>
		<link>http://www.scholarsandrogues.com/2007/12/09/a-housing-bailout-might-be-a-boon-but-bushs-housing-bailout-is-a-bust/comment-page-1/#comment-9812</link>
		<dc:creator>Dan</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 10 Dec 2007 23:39:50 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.scholarsandrogues.com/2007/12/09/a-housing-bailout-might-be-a-boon-but-bushs-housing-bailout-is-a-bust/#comment-9812</guid>
		<description>At the rate the US is going, the housing market may be settled by a plague of some sort.  Just as we refuse to acknowledge the private right to property (Kehoe vs. City of New London), right to common sense documents (your average legalese for even buying a parakeet), we also refuse to acknowledge that science is far too important to be decided by a Bart Simpson president, so we have useless and dangerous drugs on the marketplace instead of &quot;natural cures&quot; that are not patentable.  Also, like Lyme-similar diseases, as an example, are now acknowledged to have fleas as vectors, but do we use science to examine possibilities?  No.  If there&#039;s no &quot;bull&#039;s eye&quot;, you don&#039;t have Lyme (or any similar disease), and you can&#039;t get the antibiotic treatment quickly (as the Bart Simpson president immediately got) and must resign yourself to the onset of a plethora of arthritic diseases because &quot;science&quot; is &quot;not a silver bullet&quot; in medicine--not when pharmacologic industries need far more money than even entire nations can provide them for patenting their medicines.  The uber-rich think they are immune, but short-changing &quot;science&quot; in medicine will mean staph infections, Hanta virus, and ebola for the rich also.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>At the rate the US is going, the housing market may be settled by a plague of some sort.  Just as we refuse to acknowledge the private right to property (Kehoe vs. City of New London), right to common sense documents (your average legalese for even buying a parakeet), we also refuse to acknowledge that science is far too important to be decided by a Bart Simpson president, so we have useless and dangerous drugs on the marketplace instead of &#8220;natural cures&#8221; that are not patentable.  Also, like Lyme-similar diseases, as an example, are now acknowledged to have fleas as vectors, but do we use science to examine possibilities?  No.  If there&#8217;s no &#8220;bull&#8217;s eye&#8221;, you don&#8217;t have Lyme (or any similar disease), and you can&#8217;t get the antibiotic treatment quickly (as the Bart Simpson president immediately got) and must resign yourself to the onset of a plethora of arthritic diseases because &#8220;science&#8221; is &#8220;not a silver bullet&#8221; in medicine&#8211;not when pharmacologic industries need far more money than even entire nations can provide them for patenting their medicines.  The uber-rich think they are immune, but short-changing &#8220;science&#8221; in medicine will mean staph infections, Hanta virus, and ebola for the rich also.</p>
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		<title>By: Ian Welsh</title>
		<link>http://www.scholarsandrogues.com/2007/12/09/a-housing-bailout-might-be-a-boon-but-bushs-housing-bailout-is-a-bust/comment-page-1/#comment-9811</link>
		<dc:creator>Ian Welsh</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 10 Dec 2007 23:22:22 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.scholarsandrogues.com/2007/12/09/a-housing-bailout-might-be-a-boon-but-bushs-housing-bailout-is-a-bust/#comment-9811</guid>
		<description>good post.  I&#039;m going to quibble on this:

&quot;The best way to combat these tactics is with clear, comprehensive disclosures of the terms and conditions of every loan and abolition of punitive or unnecessary fees, points, and costs attached to a loanâ€“but even mild voluntary guidelines like what the Fed has proposed are violently opposed by the mortgage and finance industries. As long as the people who predicated this financial crisis refuse to take even the slightest step to police themselves and behave ethically and responsibly, then yes, a bailout may be necessary. People shouldnâ€™t be punished simply for trying to fulfill the American Dream of home ownership.&quot;

The best way is to make it so that if you sell the loan you have to keep it on your books, so you&#039;re responsible for it forever.  Knowing that they aren&#039;t offloading it would make lending standards go way up, way fast.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>good post.  I&#8217;m going to quibble on this:</p>
<p>&#8220;The best way to combat these tactics is with clear, comprehensive disclosures of the terms and conditions of every loan and abolition of punitive or unnecessary fees, points, and costs attached to a loanâ€“but even mild voluntary guidelines like what the Fed has proposed are violently opposed by the mortgage and finance industries. As long as the people who predicated this financial crisis refuse to take even the slightest step to police themselves and behave ethically and responsibly, then yes, a bailout may be necessary. People shouldnâ€™t be punished simply for trying to fulfill the American Dream of home ownership.&#8221;</p>
<p>The best way is to make it so that if you sell the loan you have to keep it on your books, so you&#8217;re responsible for it forever.  Knowing that they aren&#8217;t offloading it would make lending standards go way up, way fast.</p>
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		<title>By: Dr. Slammy</title>
		<link>http://www.scholarsandrogues.com/2007/12/09/a-housing-bailout-might-be-a-boon-but-bushs-housing-bailout-is-a-bust/comment-page-1/#comment-9803</link>
		<dc:creator>Dr. Slammy</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 10 Dec 2007 21:00:56 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.scholarsandrogues.com/2007/12/09/a-housing-bailout-might-be-a-boon-but-bushs-housing-bailout-is-a-bust/#comment-9803</guid>
		<description>Rick: I&#039;m as unhappy about some elements of the system as you are, but I&#039;m not yet convinced that complete economic collapse would help my already iffy situation.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Rick: I&#8217;m as unhappy about some elements of the system as you are, but I&#8217;m not yet convinced that complete economic collapse would help my already iffy situation.</p>
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		<title>By: rick</title>
		<link>http://www.scholarsandrogues.com/2007/12/09/a-housing-bailout-might-be-a-boon-but-bushs-housing-bailout-is-a-bust/comment-page-1/#comment-9800</link>
		<dc:creator>rick</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 10 Dec 2007 20:11:14 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.scholarsandrogues.com/2007/12/09/a-housing-bailout-might-be-a-boon-but-bushs-housing-bailout-is-a-bust/#comment-9800</guid>
		<description>I guess I&#039;m not as altruistic as many of you above.  I think the best thing for the country is the complete collapse of the corporatist/banking/insurance system.  I don&#039;t suggest for one minute that what would arise in its place from the chaos would necessarily be better, but the current system is so rigged, and the people kept so ignorant, that it makes life-time indentured servants of most Americans, especially for the foreseeable future.  We&#039;ve replaced the company towns of last century w/ a corporatist nation.  I guess I am rooting for catastrophic failure, and I&#039;ll take my chances w/ the fallout.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I guess I&#8217;m not as altruistic as many of you above.  I think the best thing for the country is the complete collapse of the corporatist/banking/insurance system.  I don&#8217;t suggest for one minute that what would arise in its place from the chaos would necessarily be better, but the current system is so rigged, and the people kept so ignorant, that it makes life-time indentured servants of most Americans, especially for the foreseeable future.  We&#8217;ve replaced the company towns of last century w/ a corporatist nation.  I guess I am rooting for catastrophic failure, and I&#8217;ll take my chances w/ the fallout.</p>
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		<title>By: NYer</title>
		<link>http://www.scholarsandrogues.com/2007/12/09/a-housing-bailout-might-be-a-boon-but-bushs-housing-bailout-is-a-bust/comment-page-1/#comment-9798</link>
		<dc:creator>NYer</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 10 Dec 2007 19:18:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.scholarsandrogues.com/2007/12/09/a-housing-bailout-might-be-a-boon-but-bushs-housing-bailout-is-a-bust/#comment-9798</guid>
		<description>OK. What i don&#039;t get is how these closings took place with out the buyer&#039;s attorney present.  Has anyone closed on any property transaction WITHOUT THE ADVICE AND COUNSEL OF AN ATTORNEY??????? Why would anyone do that? Who what average american could possibly comprehend the legalese of the tons of paperwork pushed in front of them? I don&#039;t get it.

Just have a stupid tax... Just tax the stupid people :-0</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>OK. What i don&#8217;t get is how these closings took place with out the buyer&#8217;s attorney present.  Has anyone closed on any property transaction WITHOUT THE ADVICE AND COUNSEL OF AN ATTORNEY??????? Why would anyone do that? Who what average american could possibly comprehend the legalese of the tons of paperwork pushed in front of them? I don&#8217;t get it.</p>
<p>Just have a stupid tax&#8230; Just tax the stupid people :-0</p>
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		<title>By: Martin</title>
		<link>http://www.scholarsandrogues.com/2007/12/09/a-housing-bailout-might-be-a-boon-but-bushs-housing-bailout-is-a-bust/comment-page-1/#comment-9797</link>
		<dc:creator>Martin</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 10 Dec 2007 18:26:12 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.scholarsandrogues.com/2007/12/09/a-housing-bailout-might-be-a-boon-but-bushs-housing-bailout-is-a-bust/#comment-9797</guid>
		<description>Jim,

I didn&#039;t know that (I was five at the time), but it doesn&#039;t surprise me at all. Plain, honest language is always the enemy of hucksters and shysters.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Jim,</p>
<p>I didn&#8217;t know that (I was five at the time), but it doesn&#8217;t surprise me at all. Plain, honest language is always the enemy of hucksters and shysters.</p>
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		<title>By: Jim Booth</title>
		<link>http://www.scholarsandrogues.com/2007/12/09/a-housing-bailout-might-be-a-boon-but-bushs-housing-bailout-is-a-bust/comment-page-1/#comment-9795</link>
		<dc:creator>Jim Booth</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 10 Dec 2007 18:12:45 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.scholarsandrogues.com/2007/12/09/a-housing-bailout-might-be-a-boon-but-bushs-housing-bailout-is-a-bust/#comment-9795</guid>
		<description>Here&#039;s an out of the blue comment that I think relates:

When he came into office Jimmy Carter signed the Plain English Executive Order  as his first E.O. which would have eventually forced almost everybody to put legal documents into language that an ordinary citizen could read and understand. As you might guess, the financial industry was up in arms...Had Carter&#039;s E.O. remained in force, lots of innocent people might have been aware of the danger into which they were putting themselves - and avoided it. The idea was to make it possible for the consumer to protect him/herself.

Carter&#039;s post WH legacy - building houses for the disadvantaged.

When he came into office Ronald Reagan&#039;s first E. O. was a rescinding of Carter&#039;s Plain English E.O. Back to the legal mumbo jumbo that effectively made lenders the only ones who knew what those documents meant. Reagan made sure that banks and mortgage companies (among others in the Republicans&#039; favorite groups - the &quot;haves&quot; and &quot;have mores&quot;) were able to prey upon citizens and hide their conniving in legalese....The idea was to protect the corporation from liability, culpability, - or, as they interpreted his actions (with his tacit blessing), responsibility to the citizenry.

Reagan&#039;s post WH legacy - giving speeches at a million bucks a pop to  companies who benefited from his economic policies.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Here&#8217;s an out of the blue comment that I think relates:</p>
<p>When he came into office Jimmy Carter signed the Plain English Executive Order  as his first E.O. which would have eventually forced almost everybody to put legal documents into language that an ordinary citizen could read and understand. As you might guess, the financial industry was up in arms&#8230;Had Carter&#8217;s E.O. remained in force, lots of innocent people might have been aware of the danger into which they were putting themselves &#8211; and avoided it. The idea was to make it possible for the consumer to protect him/herself.</p>
<p>Carter&#8217;s post WH legacy &#8211; building houses for the disadvantaged.</p>
<p>When he came into office Ronald Reagan&#8217;s first E. O. was a rescinding of Carter&#8217;s Plain English E.O. Back to the legal mumbo jumbo that effectively made lenders the only ones who knew what those documents meant. Reagan made sure that banks and mortgage companies (among others in the Republicans&#8217; favorite groups &#8211; the &#8220;haves&#8221; and &#8220;have mores&#8221;) were able to prey upon citizens and hide their conniving in legalese&#8230;.The idea was to protect the corporation from liability, culpability, &#8211; or, as they interpreted his actions (with his tacit blessing), responsibility to the citizenry.</p>
<p>Reagan&#8217;s post WH legacy &#8211; giving speeches at a million bucks a pop to  companies who benefited from his economic policies.</p>
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		<title>By: DomPierre</title>
		<link>http://www.scholarsandrogues.com/2007/12/09/a-housing-bailout-might-be-a-boon-but-bushs-housing-bailout-is-a-bust/comment-page-1/#comment-9781</link>
		<dc:creator>DomPierre</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 10 Dec 2007 16:25:05 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.scholarsandrogues.com/2007/12/09/a-housing-bailout-might-be-a-boon-but-bushs-housing-bailout-is-a-bust/#comment-9781</guid>
		<description>A few months ago, I read that some big bank (BoA?) was foreclosing on homes &amp; properties and then was picking the properties up at auction for small change (one house property for $2).

Once again, watch where the money trail leads and who benefits.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>A few months ago, I read that some big bank (BoA?) was foreclosing on homes &amp; properties and then was picking the properties up at auction for small change (one house property for $2).</p>
<p>Once again, watch where the money trail leads and who benefits.</p>
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		<title>By: percy</title>
		<link>http://www.scholarsandrogues.com/2007/12/09/a-housing-bailout-might-be-a-boon-but-bushs-housing-bailout-is-a-bust/comment-page-1/#comment-9765</link>
		<dc:creator>percy</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 10 Dec 2007 12:01:23 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.scholarsandrogues.com/2007/12/09/a-housing-bailout-might-be-a-boon-but-bushs-housing-bailout-is-a-bust/#comment-9765</guid>
		<description>If the &#039;irresponsible&#039; are not bailed out or given some assistance, the &#039;responsible&#039; will ultimately suffer nonetheless.  More foreclosures mean more supply of homes at heavily discounted prices; more dilapidated homes in the neighborhood, pulling down values.
You are right - its all about values.  To keep that from collapsing one needs to contain the foreclosure effect.
Unchecked capitalism will result in shooting oneself in the foot.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>If the &#8216;irresponsible&#8217; are not bailed out or given some assistance, the &#8216;responsible&#8217; will ultimately suffer nonetheless.  More foreclosures mean more supply of homes at heavily discounted prices; more dilapidated homes in the neighborhood, pulling down values.<br />
You are right &#8211; its all about values.  To keep that from collapsing one needs to contain the foreclosure effect.<br />
Unchecked capitalism will result in shooting oneself in the foot.</p>
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		<title>By: fikshun</title>
		<link>http://www.scholarsandrogues.com/2007/12/09/a-housing-bailout-might-be-a-boon-but-bushs-housing-bailout-is-a-bust/comment-page-1/#comment-9759</link>
		<dc:creator>fikshun</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 10 Dec 2007 03:31:32 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.scholarsandrogues.com/2007/12/09/a-housing-bailout-might-be-a-boon-but-bushs-housing-bailout-is-a-bust/#comment-9759</guid>
		<description>Actually William, if housing values were reset, the responsible homeowners who are able to keep their houses are the ones who would bear the brunt of the crisis.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Actually William, if housing values were reset, the responsible homeowners who are able to keep their houses are the ones who would bear the brunt of the crisis.</p>
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		<title>By: jeff</title>
		<link>http://www.scholarsandrogues.com/2007/12/09/a-housing-bailout-might-be-a-boon-but-bushs-housing-bailout-is-a-bust/comment-page-1/#comment-9758</link>
		<dc:creator>jeff</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 10 Dec 2007 03:31:22 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.scholarsandrogues.com/2007/12/09/a-housing-bailout-might-be-a-boon-but-bushs-housing-bailout-is-a-bust/#comment-9758</guid>
		<description>Dr. Denny:

Those  guaranteed Chrysler loans were paid off really early due to good management..   I remember the 30 year Chrysler commercial paper with a 9% coupon was going for 32 cents on the dollar.  My dad bought a lot of that paper right after the guarantee at somewhere around 43.  That paper eventually went past par.  Those were the days..

While overzealous mortgage commission sales people, shady companies, the government, and Wall Street have complicity in the natural real estate cycles, so do the actual buyers and sellers. Real estate is a market, just like any other financial or commodity market.  Since there&#039;s less liquidity in the real estate market, corrections generally last a long time.  I knew the market was overblown when I saw mortgage loan offers of 130% equity.  Signals like that always signal a top of a market.

I&#039;m not a fan of Bush&#039;s bail out, and wonder how the investors are going to get full pay-out of on their securities.  I hope Merrill takes it on the chin on this one, and the lawyers get rich.  Meanwhile, there&#039;s a huge float of ineligible sub-prime paper out there that could offer good returns, with substantial risk to the buyer.  I think the risk is priced into the paper, as it&#039;s so cheap.  However, buying distressed paper isn&#039;t my gig, but it might fit into someone&#039;s portfolio.

_______________________________________________________

Mr Churchill said:

&quot;I find it interesting how not even the blogosphere seems to see the obvious solution to this whole mess.
If the housing prices of homes in US were lowered 30 to 40% now, instead of going through years of reccession to achieve the same result, the whole crisis of value would evaporate.
The losses would be squarely borne by the mortgage industry, and Wall Street, which is where the blame belongs.
This whole crisis is one of value, not of credit. Until this is aknowleged, the depression is inevitable.&quot;

_______________________________________________________

Real estate is a market, and it would be hard to put a mechanism in place to whack the real estate prices 30-40% immediately.  A gradual price decline over a prolonged time frame is much better for the economy, as it gives the whole market time to adjust.  A 30-40% immediate reduction would ruin the bond market, ruin the insurance industry, cripple the banks, evaporate the credit markets, melt your 401-K&#039;s and other retirement accounts, and would cause at least 50% of the banks in the country to close because of the runs that would follow such a foolish move.  
Since most housing is the source of most people&#039;s net worth, the negative equity would make immediate paupers out of millions of people.  You are right, that the issue is of value, ont of credit.  That being said, for everyone that sells at the top of the market, there has to be someone buying at the top.  Real estate is a risk,just like any other market.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Dr. Denny:</p>
<p>Those  guaranteed Chrysler loans were paid off really early due to good management..   I remember the 30 year Chrysler commercial paper with a 9% coupon was going for 32 cents on the dollar.  My dad bought a lot of that paper right after the guarantee at somewhere around 43.  That paper eventually went past par.  Those were the days..</p>
<p>While overzealous mortgage commission sales people, shady companies, the government, and Wall Street have complicity in the natural real estate cycles, so do the actual buyers and sellers. Real estate is a market, just like any other financial or commodity market.  Since there&#8217;s less liquidity in the real estate market, corrections generally last a long time.  I knew the market was overblown when I saw mortgage loan offers of 130% equity.  Signals like that always signal a top of a market.</p>
<p>I&#8217;m not a fan of Bush&#8217;s bail out, and wonder how the investors are going to get full pay-out of on their securities.  I hope Merrill takes it on the chin on this one, and the lawyers get rich.  Meanwhile, there&#8217;s a huge float of ineligible sub-prime paper out there that could offer good returns, with substantial risk to the buyer.  I think the risk is priced into the paper, as it&#8217;s so cheap.  However, buying distressed paper isn&#8217;t my gig, but it might fit into someone&#8217;s portfolio.</p>
<p>_______________________________________________________</p>
<p>Mr Churchill said:</p>
<p>&#8220;I find it interesting how not even the blogosphere seems to see the obvious solution to this whole mess.<br />
If the housing prices of homes in US were lowered 30 to 40% now, instead of going through years of reccession to achieve the same result, the whole crisis of value would evaporate.<br />
The losses would be squarely borne by the mortgage industry, and Wall Street, which is where the blame belongs.<br />
This whole crisis is one of value, not of credit. Until this is aknowleged, the depression is inevitable.&#8221;</p>
<p>_______________________________________________________</p>
<p>Real estate is a market, and it would be hard to put a mechanism in place to whack the real estate prices 30-40% immediately.  A gradual price decline over a prolonged time frame is much better for the economy, as it gives the whole market time to adjust.  A 30-40% immediate reduction would ruin the bond market, ruin the insurance industry, cripple the banks, evaporate the credit markets, melt your 401-K&#8217;s and other retirement accounts, and would cause at least 50% of the banks in the country to close because of the runs that would follow such a foolish move.<br />
Since most housing is the source of most people&#8217;s net worth, the negative equity would make immediate paupers out of millions of people.  You are right, that the issue is of value, ont of credit.  That being said, for everyone that sells at the top of the market, there has to be someone buying at the top.  Real estate is a risk,just like any other market.</p>
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		<title>By: Dr. Denny</title>
		<link>http://www.scholarsandrogues.com/2007/12/09/a-housing-bailout-might-be-a-boon-but-bushs-housing-bailout-is-a-bust/comment-page-1/#comment-9756</link>
		<dc:creator>Dr. Denny</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 10 Dec 2007 01:34:10 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.scholarsandrogues.com/2007/12/09/a-housing-bailout-might-be-a-boon-but-bushs-housing-bailout-is-a-bust/#comment-9756</guid>
		<description>Well done, Martin. 

Long live Chrysler via federal loan guarantees (I guess I&#039;m dating myself now ...)!</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Well done, Martin. </p>
<p>Long live Chrysler via federal loan guarantees (I guess I&#8217;m dating myself now &#8230;)!</p>
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		<title>By: William Churchill</title>
		<link>http://www.scholarsandrogues.com/2007/12/09/a-housing-bailout-might-be-a-boon-but-bushs-housing-bailout-is-a-bust/comment-page-1/#comment-9750</link>
		<dc:creator>William Churchill</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 10 Dec 2007 00:59:19 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.scholarsandrogues.com/2007/12/09/a-housing-bailout-might-be-a-boon-but-bushs-housing-bailout-is-a-bust/#comment-9750</guid>
		<description>I find it interesting how not even the blogosphere seems to see the obvious solution to this whole mess.
If the housing prices of homes in US were lowered 30 to 40% now, instead of going through years of reccession to achieve the same result, the whole crisis of value would evaporate. 
The losses would be squarely borne by the mortgage industry, and Wall Street, which is where the blame belongs.
This whole crisis is one of value, not of credit. Until this is aknowleged, the depression is inevitable.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I find it interesting how not even the blogosphere seems to see the obvious solution to this whole mess.<br />
If the housing prices of homes in US were lowered 30 to 40% now, instead of going through years of reccession to achieve the same result, the whole crisis of value would evaporate.<br />
The losses would be squarely borne by the mortgage industry, and Wall Street, which is where the blame belongs.<br />
This whole crisis is one of value, not of credit. Until this is aknowleged, the depression is inevitable.</p>
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